Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -5.0 Push |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
| Money | HOF -227 DEL +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +5 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -4.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -4.5 (+0.5) | 143.5 (+3.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -2.7 (+2.3) | 143.5 (+3.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -2.7 (+2.3) | 143.0 (+4.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -2.9 (+2.1) | 144.1 (+2.9) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | HOF 78 – 65 DEL |
| Jan 24, 2025 | HOF 93 – 68 DEL |
| Mar 11, 2024 | HOF 73 – 58 DEL |
| Jan 14, 2023 | HOF 86 – 62 DEL |
| Dec 30, 2022 | HOF 87 – 73 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-9 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#115) | 3.1 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#138) | 0.14 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#140) | 0.62 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#113) | 0.491 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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