Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | HOF -250 DEL +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +15 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -3.1 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -4.0 (+11.0) | 137.8 (-6.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -3.8 (+11.2) | 138.2 (-7.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -3.7 (+11.3) | 139.4 (-8.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -3.1 (+11.9) | 138.5 (-7.5) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | HOF 78 – 65 DEL |
| Jan 24, 2025 | HOF 93 – 68 DEL |
| Jan 6, 2024 | HOF 76 – 71 DEL |
| Jan 14, 2023 | HOF 86 – 62 DEL |
| Dec 30, 2022 | HOF 87 – 73 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-9 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#116) | 0.4 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#123) | 0.02 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#116) | 0.03 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#92) | 0.508 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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