And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
Delaware Blue Hens
73 – 87
FINAL Conference
Hofstra Pride
Coastal Athletic Association · Bob Carpenter Center · December 30, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread DEL -1.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Over
Money DEL -125 / HOF +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total DEL win
Actual HOF +14 160 Lost
Massey DEL -0.4 (-14.4) — —
Massey Totals — 149.3 (+10.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 56% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 50% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ DEL -0.4 (-14.4) 147.9 (+12.1) 54% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML DEL -1.4 (-15.4) 147.6 (+12.4) 59% ✗
Baseline ML DEL -1.4 (-15.4) 147.6 (+12.4) 59% ✗
Baseline Plus ML DEL -1.4 (-15.4) 147.4 (+12.6) 56% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2025 HOF 78 – 65 DEL
Jan 24, 2025 HOF 93 – 68 DEL
Mar 11, 2024 HOF 73 – 58 DEL
Jan 6, 2024 HOF 76 – 71 DEL
Jan 14, 2023 HOF 86 – 62 DEL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DEL HOF
Overall 17-16 25-10
Conference 8-10 16-2
Home 10-5 11-2
Away 4-10 11-5
Neutral 3-1 3-3
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.4 74.2
Avg Pts Against 71.2 66.9
Massey -2.1 (#214) 2.1 (#135)
Bradley-Terry 0.33 (#151) 0.94 (#98)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.13 (#168) 1.11 (#101)
RPI 0.514 (#155) 0.597 (#39)
Shooting & Four Factors DEL HOF
FG% 44.6% 44.7%
3PT% 31.6% 36.5%
REB / G 32.7 29.9
OREB / G 9.0 6.2
AST / TO 1.25 0.98
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.5% 52.3%
TOV% 15.3% 17.7%
ORB% 25.8% 19.1%
FT Rate 23.9% 19.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.5% 50.8%
Opp TOV% 17.3% 17.1%
DRB% 70.1% 65.8%
Opp FT Rate 17.2% 15.7%

Game Analysis

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