Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
Delaware Blue Hens
73 87
FINAL Conference
Hofstra Pride
Coastal Athletic Association · Bob Carpenter Center · December 30, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread DEL -1.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Over
Money DEL -125 / HOF +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total DEL win
Actual HOF +14 160 Lost
Massey DEL -0.4 (-14.4)
Massey Totals 149.3 (+10.7)
Bradley-Terry 56%
Weighted B-T 50%
Baseline ML DEL -1.4 (-15.4) 147.6 (+12.4) 59%
Baseline Plus ML DEL -1.4 (-15.4) 147.4 (+12.6) 56%
Efficiency Plus ML DEL -0.4 (-14.4) 147.9 (+12.1) 54%
Baseline Tuned ML DEL -1.4 (-15.4) 147.6 (+12.4) 59%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2025 HOF 7865 DEL
Jan 24, 2025 HOF 9368 DEL
Mar 11, 2024 HOF 7358 DEL
Jan 6, 2024 HOF 7671 DEL
Jan 14, 2023 HOF 8662 DEL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DEL HOF
Overall 17-16 25-10
Conference 8-10 16-2
Home 10-5 11-2
Away 4-10 11-5
Neutral 3-1 3-3
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.4 74.2
Avg Pts Against 71.2 66.9
Massey -2.1 (#214) 2.1 (#135)
Bradley-Terry 0.33 (#151) 0.94 (#98)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.13 (#168) 1.11 (#101)
RPI 0.514 (#155) 0.597 (#39)
Shooting & Four Factors DEL HOF
FG% 44.6% 44.7%
3PT% 31.6% 36.5%
REB / G 32.7 29.9
OREB / G 9.0 6.2
AST / TO 1.25 0.98
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.5% 52.3%
TOV% 15.3% 17.7%
ORB% 25.8% 19.1%
FT Rate 23.9% 19.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.5% 50.8%
Opp TOV% 17.3% 17.1%
DRB% 70.1% 65.8%
Opp FT Rate 17.2% 15.7%

Game Analysis

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