Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | HOF -200 DEL +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +25 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -4.1 (+20.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (+16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -3.1 (+21.9) | 142.6 (+18.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -2.1 (+22.9) | 140.3 (+20.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -2.5 (+22.5) | 141.0 (+20.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -2.7 (+22.3) | 141.4 (+19.6) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | HOF 78 – 65 DEL |
| Mar 11, 2024 | HOF 73 – 58 DEL |
| Jan 6, 2024 | HOF 76 – 71 DEL |
| Jan 14, 2023 | HOF 86 – 62 DEL |
| Dec 30, 2022 | HOF 87 – 73 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-7 | 8-7 |
| Away | 5-9 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#185) | -2.2 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#161) | -0.41 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#168) | -0.58 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#114) | 0.478 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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