Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | DEL -130 HOF +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +13 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | DEL -2.2 (-15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -0.2 (-13.2) | 141.0 (+2.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -1.3 (-14.3) | 140.4 (+2.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -1.5 (-14.5) | 142.2 (+0.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -1.3 (-14.3) | 143.3 (-0.3) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2025 | HOF 93 – 68 DEL |
| Mar 11, 2024 | HOF 73 – 58 DEL |
| Jan 6, 2024 | HOF 76 – 71 DEL |
| Jan 14, 2023 | HOF 86 – 62 DEL |
| Dec 30, 2022 | HOF 87 – 73 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-20 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 3-11 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#243) | -3.8 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#262) | -0.70 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#259) | -0.81 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#253) | 0.480 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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