Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | HOF -500 DEL +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +24 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -9.4 (+14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -6.8 (+17.2) | 144.2 (+3.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -8.3 (+15.7) | 144.8 (+3.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -8.5 (+15.5) | 144.3 (+3.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -7.5 (+16.5) | 143.4 (+4.6) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | HOF 78 – 65 DEL |
| Jan 24, 2025 | HOF 93 – 68 DEL |
| Mar 11, 2024 | HOF 73 – 58 DEL |
| Jan 6, 2024 | HOF 76 – 71 DEL |
| Dec 30, 2022 | HOF 87 – 73 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 11-5 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.9 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#128) | -2.3 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#96) | 0.31 (#151) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#94) | 0.17 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#72) | 0.514 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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