Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Under |
| Money | WIU -800 UND +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +2 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | WIU -14.8 (-12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.4 (-19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -10.0 (-8.0) | 155.8 (-17.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -11.1 (-9.1) | 157.3 (-19.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -11.3 (-9.3) | 158.8 (-20.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -11.1 (-9.1) | 158.7 (-20.7) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | WIU 69 – 66 UND |
| Nov 24, 2025 | UND 78 – 69 WIU |
| Feb 23, 2023 | WIU 81 – 70 UND |
| Jan 24, 2023 | WIU 92 – 80 UND |
| Jan 14, 2022 | WIU 73 – 68 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 2-16 |
| Home | 9-6 | 4-11 |
| Away | 7-9 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 80.1 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#202) | -13.4 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#220) | -2.55 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#219) | -3.38 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#236) | 0.381 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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