Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.0 Under |
| Money | UND +350 WIU -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +5 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | WIU -11.9 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.1 (-15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -9.5 (+4.5) | 153.3 (-12.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -10.4 (+5.4) | 154.6 (-13.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -9.1 (+4.1) | 155.3 (-14.3) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -9.7 (+4.7) | 157.1 (-16.1) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | WIU 69 – 66 UND |
| Nov 24, 2025 | UND 78 – 69 WIU |
| Feb 23, 2023 | WIU 81 – 70 UND |
| Jan 24, 2023 | WIU 92 – 80 UND |
| Feb 12, 2022 | WIU 70 – 68 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 7-11 |
| Home | 4-11 | 9-6 |
| Away | 1-13 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.1 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -16.2 (#352) | -0.4 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.55 (#336) | -0.38 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.84 (#342) | -0.61 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.352 (#349) | 0.460 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.0% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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