You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Summit League · Betty Engelstad Sioux Center · January 14, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WIU -9.0 Home covered
O/U 158.0 Under
Money UND +350 / WIU -450
Model Predictions
Spread Total UND win
Actual WIU +5 141 Lost
Massey WIU -11.9 (+6.9) — —
Massey Totals — 156.1 (-15.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 19% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 8% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WIU -9.7 (+4.7) 157.1 (-16.1) 20% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WIU -9.5 (+4.5) 153.3 (-12.3) 22% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WIU -10.4 (+5.4) 154.6 (-13.6) 16% ✓
Baseline ML WIU -9.1 (+4.1) 155.3 (-14.3) 19% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 13, 2025 WIU 69 – 66 UND
Nov 24, 2025 UND 78 – 69 WIU
Feb 23, 2023 WIU 81 – 70 UND
Jan 24, 2023 WIU 92 – 80 UND
Feb 12, 2022 WIU 70 – 68 UND

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UND WIU
Overall 6-25 16-16
Conference 2-16 7-11
Home 4-11 9-6
Away 1-13 7-9
Neutral 1-1 0-1
Last 5 0-5 1-4
Streak L5 L3
Avg Pts For 68.8 76.8
Avg Pts Against 80.1 77.7
Massey -16.2 (#352) -0.4 (#181)
Bradley-Terry -2.55 (#336) -0.38 (#210)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.84 (#342) -0.61 (#216)
RPI 0.352 (#349) 0.460 (#241)
Shooting & Four Factors UND WIU
FG% 39.3% 42.2%
3PT% 31.0% 34.6%
REB / G 34.9 38.1
OREB / G 11.2 12.6
AST / TO 0.92 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.0% 49.7%
TOV% 18.4% 15.9%
ORB% 29.3% 31.2%
FT Rate 22.6% 21.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 58.0% 51.0%
Opp TOV% 14.3% 18.5%
DRB% 73.5% 74.9%
Opp FT Rate 21.8% 27.0%

Game Analysis

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