Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | WIU -250 UND +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +12 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | WIU -6.6 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (+35.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -5.4 (+6.6) | 139.0 (+33.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -5.8 (+6.2) | 138.6 (+33.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -4.8 (+7.2) | 138.2 (+33.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -4.9 (+7.1) | 137.8 (+34.2) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | WIU 69 – 66 UND |
| Nov 24, 2025 | UND 78 – 69 WIU |
| Feb 23, 2023 | WIU 81 – 70 UND |
| Feb 12, 2022 | WIU 70 – 68 UND |
| Jan 14, 2022 | WIU 73 – 68 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-4 | 8-8 |
| Away | 5-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#247) | -7.5 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#202) | -1.59 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#214) | -1.71 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#200) | 0.407 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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