Betting Lines
| Spread | UND -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UND -340 WIU +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +3 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | UND -9.5 (-12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UND -8.2 (-11.2) | 141.0 (-6.0) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UND -7.7 (-10.7) | 139.2 (-4.2) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UND -7.8 (-10.8) | 139.9 (-4.9) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UND -8.2 (-11.2) | 141.4 (-6.4) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2025 | UND 78 – 69 WIU |
| Feb 23, 2023 | WIU 81 – 70 UND |
| Jan 24, 2023 | WIU 92 – 80 UND |
| Feb 12, 2022 | WIU 70 – 68 UND |
| Jan 14, 2022 | WIU 73 – 68 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 1-19 |
| Home | 9-7 | 4-11 |
| Away | 7-8 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.6 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#318) | -15.8 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#305) | -4.12 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.71 (#311) | -6.11 (#363) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#319) | 0.318 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.9% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.7% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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