Betting Lines
| Spread | UND -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | UND -188 WIU +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +11 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | UND -3.5 (-14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UND -1.7 (-12.7) | 147.1 (+3.9) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UND -3.0 (-14.0) | 145.3 (+5.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UND -3.1 (-14.1) | 147.7 (+3.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UND -2.5 (-13.5) | 147.5 (+3.5) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | WIU 69 – 66 UND |
| Nov 24, 2025 | UND 78 – 69 WIU |
| Jan 24, 2023 | WIU 92 – 80 UND |
| Feb 12, 2022 | WIU 70 – 68 UND |
| Jan 14, 2022 | WIU 73 – 68 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#278) | -6.0 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#277) | -0.40 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#264) | -0.79 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#298) | 0.472 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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