Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | YSU -125 DETM +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +13 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -1.9 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (+10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -0.8 (+12.2) | 139.1 (+11.9) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -1.9 (+11.1) | 140.4 (+10.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -1.4 (+11.6) | 140.8 (+10.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -1.7 (+11.3) | 139.7 (+11.3) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | DETM 76 – 70 YSU |
| Dec 29, 2025 | DETM 73 – 68 YSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | YSU 87 – 72 DETM |
| Dec 29, 2024 | YSU 73 – 64 DETM |
| Feb 28, 2024 | YSU 69 – 55 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 12-9 | 10-7 |
| Home | 13-7 | 9-1 |
| Away | 6-8 | 5-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#235) | -2.6 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#242) | -0.87 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#247) | -1.03 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#260) | 0.485 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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