Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | DETM +170 YSU -205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +6 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -1.1 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (-6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -0.4 (+5.6) | 148.1 (-2.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -1.1 (+7.1) | 148.0 (-2.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -0.1 (+6.1) | 147.1 (-1.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -0.1 (+6.1) | 148.9 (-2.9) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 29, 2025 | DETM 73 – 68 YSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | YSU 87 – 72 DETM |
| Dec 29, 2024 | YSU 73 – 64 DETM |
| Feb 28, 2024 | YSU 69 – 55 DETM |
| Jan 20, 2024 | YSU 105 – 64 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#262) | -1.9 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#232) | -0.75 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#235) | -0.72 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#244) | 0.450 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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