I got a baby's brain and an old man's heart "I'm Eighteen" - Alice Cooper
Horizon League · Beeghly Center · December 29, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread YSU -9.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money YSU -535 / DETM +400
Model Predictions
Spread Total YSU win
Actual DETM +5 141 Lost
Massey YSU -13.6 (-18.6) — —
Massey Totals — 148.0 (-7.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 92% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 95% ✗
Baseline Plus ML YSU -10.4 (-15.4) 144.9 (-3.9) 86% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ YSU -10.9 (-15.9) 144.4 (-3.4) 87% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML YSU -11.2 (-16.2) 143.7 (-2.7) 87% ✗
Baseline ML YSU -11.3 (-16.3) 143.9 (-2.9) 86% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 DETM 76 – 70 YSU
Feb 8, 2025 YSU 87 – 72 DETM
Dec 29, 2024 YSU 73 – 64 DETM
Feb 28, 2024 YSU 69 – 55 DETM
Jan 20, 2024 YSU 105 – 64 DETM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings YSU DETM
Overall 15-17 17-15
Conference 8-12 12-8
Home 10-5 9-5
Away 4-11 7-9
Neutral 1-1 1-1
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 75.1 76.3
Avg Pts Against 74.9 78.7
Massey 1.7 (#150) -7.7 (#288)
Bradley-Terry 0.23 (#153) -1.47 (#287)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.09 (#162) -2.04 (#290)
RPI 0.508 (#157) 0.423 (#304)
Shooting & Four Factors YSU DETM
FG% 46.7% 40.7%
3PT% 35.9% 28.3%
REB / G 32.9 37.4
OREB / G 9.8 13.4
AST / TO 0.87 1.12
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.6% 45.6%
TOV% 21.9% 15.9%
ORB% 30.8% 33.5%
FT Rate 23.0% 21.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.6% 54.1%
Opp TOV% 19.5% 14.5%
DRB% 66.1% 68.0%
Opp FT Rate 28.2% 27.7%

Game Analysis

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