What's the point of robbery when nothing is worth taking? "Stand and Deliver" - Adam and the Ants
Horizon League · Beeghly Center · February 28, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread YSU -18.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Under
Money YSU -8000 / DETM +1400
Model Predictions
Spread Total YSU win
Actual YSU +14 124 Won
Massey YSU -22.7 (-8.7) — —
Massey Totals — 148.2 (-24.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 99% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Baseline Plus ML YSU -17.3 (-3.3) 148.8 (-24.8) 91% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ YSU -16.6 (-2.6) 150.5 (-26.5) 90% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML YSU -16.3 (-2.3) 148.0 (-24.0) 90% ✓
Baseline ML YSU -17.3 (-3.3) 149.6 (-25.6) 90% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 DETM 76 – 70 YSU
Dec 29, 2025 DETM 73 – 68 YSU
Feb 8, 2025 YSU 87 – 72 DETM
Dec 29, 2024 YSU 73 – 64 DETM
Jan 20, 2024 YSU 105 – 64 DETM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings YSU DETM
Overall 22-10 1-31
Conference 14-6 1-19
Home 14-3 1-11
Away 8-7 0-20
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 78.4 66.0
Avg Pts Against 72.4 80.2
Massey 3.7 (#118) -15.6 (#355)
Bradley-Terry 0.39 (#140) -4.13 (#363)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.56 (#135) -4.81 (#361)
RPI 0.525 (#130) 0.376 (#356)
Shooting & Four Factors YSU DETM
FG% 43.7% 42.0%
3PT% 32.1% 27.5%
REB / G 39.0 29.3
OREB / G 12.8 8.9
AST / TO 1.31 0.77
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.4% 47.0%
TOV% 15.3% 19.2%
ORB% 34.4% 26.0%
FT Rate 23.3% 22.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.2% 56.1%
Opp TOV% 16.6% 17.5%
DRB% 71.4% 64.3%
Opp FT Rate 21.6% 25.1%

Game Analysis

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