Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
Horizon League · Beeghly Center · December 29, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread YSU -14.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money YSU -1600 / DETM +800
Model Predictions
Spread Total YSU win
Actual YSU +9 137 Won
Massey YSU -10.8 (-1.8) — —
Massey Totals — 138.2 (-1.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 81% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 89% ✓
Baseline Plus ML YSU -8.5 (+0.5) 141.6 (-4.6) 80% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ YSU -11.7 (-2.7) 142.4 (-5.4) 84% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML YSU -9.0 (-0.0) 138.5 (-1.5) 83% ✓
Baseline ML YSU -8.1 (+0.9) 139.6 (-2.6) 83% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 DETM 76 – 70 YSU
Dec 29, 2025 DETM 73 – 68 YSU
Feb 8, 2025 YSU 87 – 72 DETM
Feb 28, 2024 YSU 69 – 55 DETM
Jan 20, 2024 YSU 105 – 64 DETM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings YSU DETM
Overall 21-13 8-24
Conference 13-7 4-16
Home 10-5 6-7
Away 9-6 2-15
Neutral 2-2 0-2
Last 5 5-0 1-4
Streak L1 L8
Avg Pts For 73.7 66.3
Avg Pts Against 72.6 76.6
Massey -2.1 (#203) -8.6 (#307)
Bradley-Terry -0.18 (#189) -0.87 (#249)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.45 (#198) -1.62 (#276)
RPI 0.455 (#258) 0.474 (#214)
Shooting & Four Factors YSU DETM
FG% 39.7% 40.5%
3PT% 26.6% 38.6%
REB / G 35.0 38.1
OREB / G 10.6 12.5
AST / TO 0.90 0.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.6% 45.6%
TOV% 17.1% 18.5%
ORB% 27.3% 32.1%
FT Rate 25.3% 19.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.1% 53.1%
Opp TOV% 19.1% 16.0%
DRB% 68.3% 72.5%
Opp FT Rate 26.6% 25.6%

Game Analysis

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