Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Over |
| Money | ISU -230 KSU +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +6 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | ISU -4.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.6 (+20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -3.8 (-9.8) | 129.0 (+15.0) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -5.1 (-11.1) | 129.9 (+14.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -5.6 (-11.6) | 131.1 (+12.9) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -4.7 (-10.7) | 131.1 (+12.9) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | ISU 95 – 61 KSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | ISU 73 – 57 KSU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | KSU 80 – 61 ISU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | ISU 76 – 57 KSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | KSU 65 – 58 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 67.5 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#44) | 8.6 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#34) | 1.55 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.95 (#27) | 2.13 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#84) | 0.523 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.7% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.