Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | ISU -1800 KSU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +19 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | ISU -17.8 (-36.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -14.4 (-33.4) | 147.1 (-6.1) | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -14.7 (-33.7) | 147.6 (-6.6) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -14.8 (-33.8) | 148.4 (-7.4) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -15.9 (-34.9) | 147.3 (-6.3) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | ISU 95 – 61 KSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | ISU 73 – 57 KSU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | ISU 76 – 57 KSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | KSU 65 – 58 ISU |
| Jan 25, 2024 | ISU 78 – 67 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.3 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 21.3 (#7) | 6.7 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.66 (#7) | 0.73 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.52 (#9) | 1.17 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.641 (#14) | 0.523 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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