Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | ISU -500 KSU +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +11 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -14.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -10.9 (+0.1) | 137.4 (+7.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -10.8 (+0.2) | 136.4 (+8.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -10.2 (+0.8) | 136.0 (+9.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -11.0 (+0.0) | 137.0 (+8.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | ISU 95 – 61 KSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | ISU 73 – 57 KSU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | KSU 80 – 61 ISU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | ISU 76 – 57 KSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | KSU 65 – 58 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 18-0 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.5 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 19.8 (#6) | 8.6 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#33) | 1.92 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#41) | 2.24 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#61) | 0.574 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.9% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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