I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
Big 12 Conference · Bramlage Coliseum · March 8, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread ISU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money KSU +200 / ISU -240
Model Predictions
Spread Total KSU win
Actual ISU +16 130 Lost
Massey ISU -6.8 (-9.2) — —
Massey Totals — 144.6 (-14.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 34% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 32% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ISU -3.9 (-12.1) 142.0 (-12.0) 36% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ISU -3.4 (-12.6) 139.9 (-9.9) 28% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML ISU -3.2 (-12.8) 139.9 (-9.9) 36% ✓
Baseline ML ISU -3.9 (-12.1) 139.7 (-9.7) 38% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 1, 2026 ISU 95 – 61 KSU
Feb 1, 2025 KSU 80 – 61 ISU
Mar 14, 2024 ISU 76 – 57 KSU
Mar 9, 2024 KSU 65 – 58 ISU
Jan 25, 2024 ISU 78 – 67 KSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KSU ISU
Overall 16-17 25-10
Conference 9-11 13-7
Home 10-5 15-2
Away 3-9 6-5
Neutral 3-3 4-3
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.8 80.3
Avg Pts Against 69.6 68.3
Massey 9.1 (#64) 19.2 (#11)
Bradley-Terry 1.43 (#66) 2.67 (#26)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.83 (#67) 3.23 (#31)
RPI 0.538 (#106) 0.595 (#30)
Shooting & Four Factors KSU ISU
FG% 44.4% 47.5%
3PT% 33.8% 35.1%
REB / G 34.0 35.7
OREB / G 10.3 10.6
AST / TO 1.32 1.26
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.3% 53.9%
TOV% 17.6% 16.8%
ORB% 29.6% 32.4%
FT Rate 19.0% 30.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.7% 48.3%
Opp TOV% 18.6% 22.1%
DRB% 68.1% 71.6%
Opp FT Rate 20.4% 21.3%

Game Analysis

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