Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | KSU +200 ISU -240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +16 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | ISU -6.8 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (-14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -3.4 (-12.6) | 139.9 (-9.9) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -3.2 (-12.8) | 139.9 (-9.9) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -3.9 (-12.1) | 139.7 (-9.7) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -3.9 (-12.1) | 142.0 (-12.0) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | ISU 95 – 61 KSU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | KSU 80 – 61 ISU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | ISU 76 – 57 KSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | KSU 65 – 58 ISU |
| Jan 25, 2024 | ISU 78 – 67 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 13-7 |
| Home | 10-5 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 80.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#64) | 19.2 (#11) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#66) | 2.67 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#67) | 3.23 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#106) | 0.595 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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