Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | KSU +155 ISU -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +7 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -7.2 (+14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (-14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -4.1 (+11.1) | 139.9 (-16.9) | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -3.8 (+10.8) | 139.6 (-16.6) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -4.3 (+11.3) | 136.5 (-13.5) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -4.6 (+11.6) | 136.6 (-13.6) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | ISU 95 – 61 KSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | ISU 73 – 57 KSU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | KSU 80 – 61 ISU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | ISU 76 – 57 KSU |
| Jan 25, 2024 | ISU 78 – 67 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 29-8 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-3 | 18-0 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 61.5 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#66) | 19.1 (#8) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#76) | 2.89 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#75) | 3.34 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#105) | 0.602 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 26.2% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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