Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | ISU -350 KSU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +19 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -9.4 (+9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -7.3 (+11.7) | 134.8 (-1.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -6.2 (+12.8) | 135.5 (-2.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -8.3 (+10.7) | 134.5 (-1.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -7.8 (+11.2) | 133.5 (-0.5) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | ISU 95 – 61 KSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | ISU 73 – 57 KSU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | KSU 80 – 61 ISU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | KSU 65 – 58 ISU |
| Jan 25, 2024 | ISU 78 – 67 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 18-0 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.5 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 18.7 (#8) | 9.3 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.72 (#8) | 1.60 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.16 (#13) | 1.96 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#25) | 0.549 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.0% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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