Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | EIU +220 UTM -270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +12 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | UTM -7.1 (+19.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.9 (+27.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -5.4 (+17.4) | 130.7 (+21.3) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -5.3 (+17.3) | 129.0 (+23.0) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -5.5 (+17.5) | 128.8 (+23.2) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -6.1 (+18.1) | 130.3 (+21.7) | 28% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UTM 66 – 63 EIU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UTM 76 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UTM 65 – 61 EIU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UTM 72 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UTM 68 – 63 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 4-14 |
| Home | 4-9 | 5-8 |
| Away | 1-16 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 54.3 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -18.3 (#356) | -8.1 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.27 (#353) | -1.93 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.98 (#354) | -2.31 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.356 (#354) | 0.426 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.0% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 29.2 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 24.2% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 20.4% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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