Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UTM -250 EIU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +5 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | UTM -9.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -8.1 (-3.1) | 140.2 (-9.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -8.4 (-3.4) | 139.7 (-8.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -8.1 (-3.1) | 137.6 (-6.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -7.9 (-2.9) | 136.8 (-5.8) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UTM 66 – 63 EIU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UTM 76 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UTM 65 – 61 EIU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UTM 72 – 68 EIU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | UTM 76 – 59 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 5-12 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#257) | -11.2 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#298) | -2.68 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#300) | -3.56 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#288) | 0.378 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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