Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | EIU +110 UTM +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +17 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | UTM -0.0 (-17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -0.6 (-16.4) | 146.7 (-11.7) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -1.7 (-15.3) | 144.2 (-9.2) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -0.8 (-16.2) | 142.9 (-7.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -0.5 (-16.5) | 143.8 (-8.8) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UTM 66 – 63 EIU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UTM 76 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UTM 65 – 61 EIU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UTM 72 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UTM 68 – 63 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 14-4 |
| Home | 9-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 77.9 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#299) | -4.1 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#290) | -0.51 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#290) | -0.73 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#268) | 0.476 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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