Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | EIU +110 UTM -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +4 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | UTM -1.7 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -2.2 (-1.8) | 135.7 (+4.3) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -3.0 (-1.0) | 137.5 (+2.5) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -1.9 (-2.1) | 134.1 (+5.9) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -1.5 (-2.5) | 133.9 (+6.1) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UTM 66 – 63 EIU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UTM 76 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UTM 65 – 61 EIU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UTM 68 – 63 EIU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | UTM 76 – 59 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 9-11 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-12 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -11.9 (#337) | -7.0 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#340) | -1.50 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.20 (#349) | -1.92 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.397 (#338) | 0.443 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.6% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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