Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | UTM -395 EIU +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +3 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | UTM -8.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.2 (+4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -8.3 (-5.3) | 125.5 (+3.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -7.5 (-4.5) | 124.3 (+4.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -7.7 (-4.7) | 124.9 (+4.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -7.4 (-4.4) | 128.4 (+0.6) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | UTM 76 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UTM 65 – 61 EIU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UTM 72 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UTM 68 – 63 EIU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | UTM 76 – 59 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-6 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#208) | -10.8 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#189) | -1.57 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#205) | -2.08 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#169) | 0.453 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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