Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | EIU +154 UTM -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +8 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | UTM -4.2 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.2 (+18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -4.6 (-3.4) | 126.0 (+18.0) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -4.3 (-3.7) | 126.9 (+17.1) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -4.7 (-3.3) | 122.9 (+21.1) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -4.1 (-3.9) | 124.0 (+20.0) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UTM 66 – 63 EIU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UTM 65 – 61 EIU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UTM 72 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UTM 68 – 63 EIU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | UTM 76 – 59 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-6 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-13 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 64.7 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#308) | -2.3 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#293) | 0.24 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.00 (#304) | -0.20 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#291) | 0.505 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 36.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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