Betting Lines
| Spread | NMSU -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | UVU +140 NMSU -160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +4 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -0.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -1.5 (+2.5) | 136.1 (+3.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -0.5 (+3.5) | 135.0 (+5.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -0.6 (+3.4) | 137.1 (+2.9) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -0.3 (+3.7) | 137.0 (+3.0) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2023 | UVU 77 – 72 NMSU |
| Mar 6, 2022 | NMSU 62 – 46 UVU |
| Mar 13, 2021 | NMSU 78 – 62 UVU |
| Feb 21, 2021 | NMSU 67 – 60 UVU |
| Feb 20, 2021 | UVU 69 – 66 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-2 | 13-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 10-3 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#117) | 6.0 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#119) | 2.24 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#112) | 2.19 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#108) | 0.607 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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