Betting Lines
| Spread | COPP -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
| Money | COPP -260 SCST +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +8 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | COPP -5.5 (-13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-24.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COPP -3.6 (-11.6) | 147.4 (-23.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COPP -3.3 (-11.3) | 144.6 (-20.6) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COPP -3.5 (-11.5) | 144.5 (-20.5) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COPP -3.1 (-11.1) | 146.8 (-22.8) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | COPP 59 – 57 SCST |
| Jan 13, 2026 | SCST 74 – 72 COPP |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SCST 68 – 63 COPP |
| Feb 18, 2025 | SCST 87 – 57 COPP |
| Jan 7, 2025 | SCST 85 – 77 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COPP | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 7-7 |
| Home | 3-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-16 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#301) | -10.5 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#298) | -1.29 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#284) | -2.02 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#281) | 0.415 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COPP | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 14.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 43.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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