Betting Lines
| Spread | SCST -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | SCST -3000 COPP +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +30 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | SCST -19.5 (+10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCST -15.6 (+14.4) | 139.1 (+4.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -15.3 (+14.7) | 140.2 (+3.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCST -16.4 (+13.6) | 140.7 (+3.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCST -16.4 (+13.6) | 140.5 (+3.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | COPP 59 – 57 SCST |
| Jan 13, 2026 | SCST 74 – 72 COPP |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SCST 68 – 63 COPP |
| Jan 7, 2025 | SCST 85 – 77 COPP |
| Mar 5, 2024 | SCST 61 – 58 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 4-10 |
| Home | 10-2 | 5-6 |
| Away | 7-10 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 61.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#205) | -18.7 (#361) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#279) | -2.98 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#257) | -3.94 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#273) | 0.375 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 26.9% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 42.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 57.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.1% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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