Betting Lines
| Spread | SCST -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | COPP +400 SCST -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +3 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | SCST -5.7 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (-14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCST -6.1 (+3.1) | 129.5 (-10.5) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -6.1 (+3.1) | 127.4 (-8.4) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCST -5.4 (+2.4) | 130.9 (-11.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCST -5.6 (+2.6) | 128.8 (-9.8) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | COPP 59 – 57 SCST |
| Jan 13, 2026 | SCST 74 – 72 COPP |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SCST 68 – 63 COPP |
| Feb 18, 2025 | SCST 87 – 57 COPP |
| Jan 7, 2025 | SCST 85 – 77 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COPP | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-27 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 9-5 |
| Home | 2-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 0-17 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L13 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 57.9 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -17.7 (#360) | -8.7 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.59 (#361) | -1.11 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.94 (#357) | -1.30 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.338 (#362) | 0.457 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COPP | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.6% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.55 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.5% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 61.3% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 35.7% |
Game Analysis
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