Betting Lines
| Spread | SCST -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | SCST -3000 COPP +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +5 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | SCST -16.9 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCST -13.5 (-8.5) | 141.2 (-10.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -13.5 (-8.5) | 140.8 (-9.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCST -13.7 (-8.7) | 140.0 (-9.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCST -13.9 (-8.9) | 140.5 (-9.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | COPP 59 – 57 SCST |
| Jan 13, 2026 | SCST 74 – 72 COPP |
| Feb 18, 2025 | SCST 87 – 57 COPP |
| Jan 7, 2025 | SCST 85 – 77 COPP |
| Mar 5, 2024 | SCST 61 – 58 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 4-10 |
| Home | 10-2 | 5-6 |
| Away | 7-10 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 61.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#179) | -18.3 (#362) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#228) | -2.76 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#230) | -3.56 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#197) | 0.386 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.8% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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