Betting Lines
| Spread | SCST -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | COPP +550 SCST -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +8 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | SCST -11.4 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.4 (+30.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCST -10.2 (+2.2) | 133.1 (+28.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -9.7 (+1.7) | 134.0 (+28.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCST -9.1 (+1.1) | 134.8 (+27.2) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCST -9.2 (+1.2) | 133.3 (+28.7) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | COPP 59 – 57 SCST |
| Jan 13, 2026 | SCST 74 – 72 COPP |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SCST 68 – 63 COPP |
| Feb 18, 2025 | SCST 87 – 57 COPP |
| Mar 5, 2024 | SCST 61 – 58 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COPP | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 11-3 |
| Home | 5-6 | 10-2 |
| Away | 1-17 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.3 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -17.6 (#360) | -2.1 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.61 (#344) | -0.98 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.72 (#349) | -1.25 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.392 (#338) | 0.454 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COPP | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.7% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.2% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.9% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.3% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 33.0% |
Game Analysis
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