Betting Lines
| Spread | COPP -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | COPP -115 SCST -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +2 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | SCST -0.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (-4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -1.2 (-0.8) | 137.6 (+8.4) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COPP -0.1 (-2.1) | 138.9 (+7.1) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COPP -0.1 (-2.1) | 138.4 (+7.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCST -0.7 (-1.3) | 139.9 (+6.1) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | COPP 59 – 57 SCST |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SCST 68 – 63 COPP |
| Feb 18, 2025 | SCST 87 – 57 COPP |
| Jan 7, 2025 | SCST 85 – 77 COPP |
| Mar 5, 2024 | SCST 61 – 58 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COPP | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-24 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 7-7 |
| Home | 3-6 | 6-5 |
| Away | 4-15 | 3-16 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 80.6 |
| Massey | -24.3 (#365) | -20.4 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.25 (#353) | -3.40 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.77 (#357) | -5.17 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.376 (#350) | 0.351 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COPP | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.1% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 63.9% | 60.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 35.7% |
Game Analysis
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