Betting Lines
| Spread | SCST -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | SCST -198 COPP +164 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COPP +2 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | SCST -6.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (-32.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCST -4.6 (-6.6) | 141.7 (-25.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -5.8 (-7.8) | 137.5 (-21.5) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCST -4.5 (-6.5) | 141.3 (-25.3) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SCST -3.3 (-5.3) | 139.9 (-23.9) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2026 | SCST 74 – 72 COPP |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SCST 68 – 63 COPP |
| Feb 18, 2025 | SCST 87 – 57 COPP |
| Jan 7, 2025 | SCST 85 – 77 COPP |
| Mar 5, 2024 | SCST 61 – 58 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 5-9 |
| Home | 6-5 | 3-6 |
| Away | 3-16 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 81.0 |
| Massey | -19.4 (#362) | -22.6 (#364) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.64 (#351) | -3.10 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.75 (#355) | -4.21 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.386 (#357) | 0.392 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 61.0% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.3% | 32.4% |
Game Analysis
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