Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
| Money | DREX -280 NE +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +16 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -9.1 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (-17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -7.0 (+9.0) | 133.1 (-15.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -7.3 (+8.7) | 136.2 (-18.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -6.8 (+9.2) | 135.7 (-17.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -8.0 (+8.0) | 134.3 (-16.3) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | DREX 84 – 77 NE |
| Feb 20, 2026 | DREX 70 – 61 NE |
| Jan 24, 2026 | DREX 83 – 78 NE |
| Jan 24, 2025 | NE 70 – 61 DREX |
| Mar 2, 2024 | DREX 73 – 59 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-14 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 2-16 |
| Home | 8-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 6-7 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#160) | -5.5 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#168) | -0.94 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#174) | -1.06 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#188) | 0.442 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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