Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | DREX -198 NE +164 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +7 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -3.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (+18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -3.2 (+3.8) | 134.4 (+26.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -2.3 (+4.7) | 134.9 (+26.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -3.2 (+3.8) | 136.3 (+24.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -3.3 (+3.7) | 135.2 (+25.8) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | DREX 70 – 61 NE |
| Jan 24, 2026 | DREX 83 – 78 NE |
| Jan 24, 2025 | NE 70 – 61 DREX |
| Mar 2, 2024 | DREX 73 – 59 NE |
| Feb 24, 2023 | DREX 75 – 48 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 2-16 |
| Home | 12-4 | 2-10 |
| Away | 4-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 81.0 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#215) | -6.8 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#220) | -1.55 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#221) | -1.78 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#213) | 0.436 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 30.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.