Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | DREX -250 NE +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +27 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -9.4 (+17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -7.1 (+19.9) | 130.8 (-7.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -7.8 (+19.2) | 132.6 (-9.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -7.4 (+19.6) | 131.3 (-8.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -6.6 (+20.4) | 131.7 (-8.7) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | DREX 84 – 77 NE |
| Feb 20, 2026 | DREX 70 – 61 NE |
| Jan 24, 2026 | DREX 83 – 78 NE |
| Jan 24, 2025 | NE 70 – 61 DREX |
| Mar 2, 2024 | DREX 73 – 59 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-3 | 6-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#203) | -7.4 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#221) | -1.14 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#218) | -1.33 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#219) | 0.440 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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