Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | DREX -500 NE +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +14 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -10.1 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -8.4 (+5.6) | 137.5 (-5.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -9.0 (+5.0) | 136.0 (-4.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -9.3 (+4.7) | 137.7 (-5.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -9.1 (+4.9) | 137.7 (-5.7) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | DREX 84 – 77 NE |
| Feb 20, 2026 | DREX 70 – 61 NE |
| Jan 24, 2026 | DREX 83 – 78 NE |
| Jan 24, 2025 | NE 70 – 61 DREX |
| Feb 24, 2023 | DREX 75 – 48 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-1 | 7-5 |
| Away | 6-10 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#125) | -3.7 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#132) | -0.63 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#139) | -0.63 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#118) | 0.473 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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