Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | NE -120 DREX +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +9 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | NE -0.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -0.2 (-9.2) | 141.5 (-10.5) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -0.8 (-8.2) | 139.8 (-8.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -1.1 (-7.9) | 142.0 (-11.0) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -0.1 (-8.9) | 142.9 (-11.9) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | DREX 84 – 77 NE |
| Jan 24, 2026 | DREX 83 – 78 NE |
| Jan 24, 2025 | NE 70 – 61 DREX |
| Mar 2, 2024 | DREX 73 – 59 NE |
| Feb 24, 2023 | DREX 75 – 48 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-24 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 10-8 |
| Home | 2-10 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#269) | -3.8 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#291) | -0.64 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#281) | -0.81 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#275) | 0.471 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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