Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | DREX -198 NE +164 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +5 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -5.0 (-0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (+15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -4.7 (+0.3) | 137.1 (+23.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -4.4 (+0.6) | 137.2 (+23.8) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -4.2 (+0.8) | 136.8 (+24.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -5.1 (-0.1) | 138.1 (+22.9) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | DREX 84 – 77 NE |
| Feb 20, 2026 | DREX 70 – 61 NE |
| Jan 24, 2025 | NE 70 – 61 DREX |
| Mar 2, 2024 | DREX 73 – 59 NE |
| Feb 24, 2023 | DREX 75 – 48 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 2-16 |
| Home | 12-4 | 2-10 |
| Away | 4-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 81.0 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#208) | -4.6 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#242) | -1.02 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#227) | -1.22 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#250) | 0.454 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 30.3% |
Game Analysis
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