Funky Claude was running in and out / pulling kids out the ground "Smoke On the Water" - Deep Purple
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · February 12, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread OAK -7.0 Home covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Money RMU +250 / OAK -320
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual OAK +3 139 Lost
Massey OAK -9.0 (+6.0) — —
Massey Totals — 145.2 (-6.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 6% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 5% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OAK -8.1 (+5.1) 146.6 (-7.6) 24% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML OAK -6.9 (+3.9) 144.2 (-5.2) 24% ✓
Baseline ML OAK -6.6 (+3.6) 145.2 (-6.2) 22% ✓
Baseline Plus ML OAK -8.1 (+5.1) 145.3 (-6.3) 22% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 RMU 93 – 69 OAK
Jan 4, 2026 OAK 96 – 73 RMU
Mar 10, 2025 RMU 79 – 76 OAK
Jan 25, 2025 RMU 73 – 71 OAK
Jan 4, 2025 RMU 79 – 71 OAK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU OAK
Overall 8-24 20-12
Conference 5-16 12-7
Home 4-10 10-3
Away 4-14 7-8
Neutral 0-0 3-1
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.4 72.3
Avg Pts Against 75.5 69.8
Massey -9.6 (#315) 2.4 (#125)
Bradley-Terry -2.62 (#345) 0.69 (#121)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.96 (#343) 0.49 (#137)
RPI 0.417 (#312) 0.563 (#65)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU OAK
FG% 44.5% 42.8%
3PT% 32.9% 29.7%
REB / G 32.9 35.2
OREB / G 9.0 11.0
AST / TO 0.86 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.9% 48.8%
TOV% 20.8% 18.4%
ORB% 27.6% 31.4%
FT Rate 20.8% 26.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.8% 49.3%
Opp TOV% 17.2% 20.2%
DRB% 69.1% 66.8%
Opp FT Rate 21.7% 15.4%

Game Analysis

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