So let the words of our mouth and the meditation of our heart be acceptable in thy sight, O Fari! "By the RIvers of Babylon"-The Melodians
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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85–43 on winners spread MAE 9.8 128 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UConn @ Xavier +1.6 142.6 58% 68–74 ✓
Wright State @ Milwaukee -6.8 143.9 23% 57–60 ✗
Oakland @ Robert Morris -6.9 144.2 24% 71–68 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Youngstown State +1.9 140.4 64% 69–82 ✓
Rider @ Saint Peter's +8.5 133.1 81% 58–49 ✗
Monmouth @ Manhattan -4.3 143.0 34% 75–65 ✓
Kent State @ Akron +2.7 133.8 64% 66–64 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Green Bay -6.0 131.2 22% 71–62 ✓
Nevada @ Utah State +13.3 147.0 88% 85–72 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Saint Louis +8.5 144.1 79% 68–61 ✗
Iona @ Siena -9.7 140.3 18% 64–70 ✗
Fresno State @ Colorado State +4.1 135.7 68% 50–65 ✓
UNLV @ Boise State +8.2 132.1 79% 63–69 ✓
Texas A&M @ Auburn +12.9 147.9 88% 58–75 ✓
Texas @ Baylor +5.9 132.4 72% 63–80 ✓
Lafayette @ Lehigh +3.9 138.3 66% 73–69 ✗
Creighton @ Georgetown -4.2 140.8 27% 80–66 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Massachusetts +1.3 153.3 56% 67–69 ✓
Arkansas @ Alabama +4.1 157.4 65% 67–68 ✓
Oklahoma @ Kansas +9.9 148.4 83% 69–71 ✓
Seton Hall @ Villanova +8.7 139.8 80% 67–73 ✓
American University @ Boston University +11.1 138.8 87% 67–85 ✓
Merrimack @ Wagner +13.5 129.8 87% 80–65 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Fairleigh Dickinson -1.4 147.0 39% 75–82 ✗
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Central Connecticut +0.5 135.0 49% 67–50 ✗
Illinois State @ Indiana State +1.1 155.1 56% 57–60 ✓
Niagara @ Fairfield +1.4 131.4 58% 53–73 ✓
Navy @ Army -4.5 132.4 31% 52–49 ✓
Rutgers @ Wisconsin +8.1 132.3 79% 73–65 ✗
Holy Cross @ Bucknell +3.4 144.2 65% 78–72 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Morgan State -3.1 146.0 36% 74–64 ✓
Temple @ Tulane +4.3 138.0 69% 83–92 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Montana State +11.8 139.0 88% 70–72 ✓
Bryant @ Long Island University +0.4 157.1 49% 88–99 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Gardner-Webb +15.9 133.1 89% 65–82 ✓
Florida State @ North Carolina +6.7 147.6 77% 74–94 ✓
Yale @ Columbia -11.6 146.7 15% 84–59 ✓
Harvard @ Pennsylvania +2.8 141.5 66% 74–82 ✓
Brown @ Cornell +3.2 146.6 68% 81–80 ✗
New Hampshire @ Binghamton +1.0 135.2 53% 69–60 ✗
West Virginia @ Oklahoma State +2.5 138.6 62% 58–81 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Coastal Carolina +4.0 129.8 66% 58–79 ✓
George Washington @ Dayton +12.3 132.1 87% 54–80 ✓
Davidson @ Rhode Island -2.7 135.9 39% 65–72 ✗
Chattanooga @ Furman +3.0 142.3 65% 64–58 ✗
Northeastern @ Drexel +7.3 136.2 77% 51–67 ✓
Elon @ Towson +11.2 130.0 86% 50–86 ✓
Ball State @ Buffalo +11.1 156.3 87% 74–80 ✓
South Carolina @ Georgia -2.5 146.7 36% 80–68 ✓
North Texas @ Rice -4.4 134.6 26% 67–44 ✓
Sam Houston @ Chicago State -8.2 136.7 19% 72–59 ✓
Miami @ Wake Forest +7.2 150.8 77% 76–72 ✗
NC State @ Pittsburgh +0.5 137.5 53% 69–71 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Cleveland State +18.8 133.7 91% 45–83 ✓
Texas State @ UL Monroe -2.4 138.2 39% 63–54 ✓
UT Arlington @ Louisiana +4.3 139.0 68% 80–77 ✗
North Dakota @ Western Illinois +11.1 157.3 87% 68–70 ✓
Memphis @ Houston +12.2 142.9 87% 69–59 ✗
Indiana @ Michigan State +4.7 135.8 70% 61–76 ✓
The Citadel @ VMI +8.2 160.4 80% 83–79 ✗
Bowling Green @ Miami (OH) +1.5 155.1 59% 78–94 ✓
Ohio @ Eastern Michigan -8.7 148.2 21% 74–56 ✓
Florida @ Kentucky +12.2 144.5 87% 57–78 ✓
TCU @ Texas Tech +9.7 134.1 82% 69–82 ✓
Murray State @ Morehead State -2.5 134.9 34% 57–53 ✓
California @ Oregon +11.0 137.2 85% 78–64 ✗
South Carolina State @ Coppin State +3.3 144.6 64% 66–58 ✗
UC Riverside @ UC San Diego -2.0 133.8 40% 62–85 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Alcorn State +7.6 136.0 78% 71–63 ✗
Delaware State @ Howard +15.8 141.3 90% 72–85 ✓
Western Kentucky @ UTSA -9.5 145.6 16% 71–65 ✓
Southern Utah @ Sacramento State -7.2 141.4 23% 83–57 ✓
New Mexico State @ Utah Valley +0.6 137.1 48% 68–72 ✓
Lamar @ Seattle U +14.2 142.3 88% 50–76 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Saint Francis -2.2 135.1 41% 54–52 ✓
UNC Asheville @ South Carolina Upstate +1.7 145.5 58% 83–56 ✗
Longwood @ North Carolina A&T -3.9 140.8 30% 62–70 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Virginia +8.4 129.9 79% 53–63 ✓
Dartmouth @ Princeton +5.9 145.9 76% 40–85 ✓
Stetson @ Florida Gulf Coast +8.7 149.2 80% 82–89 ✓
Kansas State @ Iowa State +5.1 129.9 70% 75–69 ✗
Georgia State @ App State +5.0 132.4 72% 58–49 ✗
Valparaiso @ Missouri State +12.2 141.4 87% 66–84 ✓
VCU @ George Mason +1.4 133.6 55% 85–70 ✗
South Dakota @ Denver -0.2 144.6 50% 84–76 ✓
Samford @ East Tennessee State +4.4 149.0 68% 77–73 ✗
William & Mary @ James Madison +10.8 148.4 86% 55–69 ✓
Marquette @ Butler -5.1 133.3 29% 79–85 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ SIU Edwardsville +0.2 144.0 49% 60–61 ✓
UT Martin @ Eastern Illinois -5.3 129.0 28% 70–82 ✗
Grambling @ Texas Southern +11.1 136.1 86% 65–68 ✓
McNeese @ Northwestern State -0.2 156.4 46% 80–75 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Nicholls +5.4 146.8 73% 80–83 ✓
Presbyterian @ Winthrop +8.9 141.1 81% 61–65 ✓
Bellarmine @ North Alabama -3.3 131.0 33% 75–69 ✓
Duke @ Boston College -12.9 136.3 15% 72–61 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Alabama A&M +9.3 135.5 83% 92–94 ✓
Colgate @ Loyola Maryland -3.5 138.5 34% 64–56 ✓
Belmont @ Southeast Missouri State -11.4 155.4 15% 81–72 ✓
Tennessee State @ Austin Peay +3.9 135.2 67% 52–54 ✓
Weber State @ Idaho -8.1 155.1 20% 79–83 ✗
Idaho State @ Eastern Washington +10.6 142.3 86% 72–75 ✓
Houston Christian @ SE Louisiana +7.1 152.8 79% 84–89 ✓
Incarnate Word @ LSU New Orleans +10.4 144.8 87% 57–84 ✓
UMBC @ UMass Lowell +0.9 141.5 52% 71–88 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Lipscomb +1.1 157.1 53% 73–83 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Jacksonville State +14.3 150.8 88% 72–62 ✗
Little Rock @ Troy +11.3 140.2 87% 66–62 ✗
Toledo @ Northern Illinois -11.9 146.0 15% 100–72 ✓
Omaha @ South Dakota State +21.0 163.1 91% 61–82 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama State +9.8 143.6 84% 75–70 ✗
Radford @ Hampton -0.1 129.8 46% 60–54 ✓
North Florida @ Kennesaw State +4.7 144.1 67% 74–72 ✗
Fordham @ Duquesne -0.3 134.7 47% 65–54 ✓
Arizona @ Washington -11.0 151.3 17% 92–68 ✓
Ohio State @ Michigan +1.8 145.1 60% 68–57 ✗
Vanderbilt @ Tennessee +11.6 139.7 87% 64–73 ✓
SMU @ East Carolina -5.5 144.2 27% 80–66 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Norfolk State +8.9 137.9 82% 63–70 ✓
San Francisco @ Santa Clara +1.0 153.3 55% 74–58 ✗
Campbell @ High Point +1.5 135.8 55% 60–42 ✗
Syracuse @ Virginia Tech +6.2 149.3 73% 59–71 ✓
Liberty @ Jacksonville -1.0 129.8 44% 69–73 ✗
La Salle @ Richmond +12.1 145.1 87% 63–77 ✓
DePaul @ Providence +7.8 137.6 80% 73–76 ✓
Southern @ Prairie View A&M -4.5 148.1 26% 77–84 ✗
Florida A&M @ Jackson State +1.6 126.9 57% 56–60 ✓
Hofstra @ Delaware +1.1 146.2 54% 80–66 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.