We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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86–40 on winners spread MAE 7.5 126 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Marist @ Niagara +0.8 131.3 57% 62–67 ✓
Iona @ Siena -11.1 137.1 15% 70–51 ✓
Manhattan @ Canisius +9.1 141.1 84% 70–82 ✓
Michigan State @ Wisconsin +4.6 135.8 73% 66–81 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ St. Bonaventure +2.9 139.7 66% 72–91 ✓
Utah Valley @ Seattle U +6.5 140.5 75% 61–62 ✓
Stanford @ California +0.5 154.3 60% 71–73 ✓
Kansas State @ Houston +15.0 126.1 88% 52–74 ✓
Boston College @ Notre Dame -3.1 130.9 38% 61–58 ✓
Virginia @ Louisville -7.9 129.4 16% 69–52 ✓
William & Mary @ Northeastern +6.8 138.1 72% 72–68 ✗
Nebraska @ Maryland +3.0 136.8 65% 51–73 ✓
Lehigh @ Holy Cross -6.5 141.8 22% 78–72 ✓
Georgia @ Florida +8.0 157.2 76% 98–102 ✓
UAlbany @ New Hampshire +5.6 157.8 78% 86–79 ✗
Georgetown @ Providence +14.0 146.5 88% 76–84 ✓
Fordham @ Duquesne +8.1 142.8 80% 59–68 ✓
Seton Hall @ Marquette +9.0 145.1 81% 57–75 ✓
Missouri @ South Carolina +7.1 138.9 80% 64–72 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Navy +9.4 130.5 78% 74–70 ✗
Bucknell @ Army -0.7 128.5 39% 66–56 ✓
Wagner @ Central Connecticut +5.5 129.0 65% 68–69 ✓
Akron @ Miami (OH) -6.9 138.6 25% 68–70 ✗
Central Michigan @ Western Michigan +3.7 139.8 66% 62–55 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Green Bay +11.9 137.2 87% 64–78 ✓
Kansas @ Iowa State +7.8 140.3 81% 75–79 ✓
North Carolina @ Florida State -4.1 150.1 28% 75–68 ✓
Texas Tech @ Oklahoma +4.1 139.5 71% 85–84 ✗
Texas @ BYU +10.2 146.1 82% 72–84 ✓
West Virginia @ Oklahoma State +4.3 141.0 67% 66–70 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Murray State -0.5 131.8 45% 60–58 ✓
Illinois State @ Evansville +1.2 136.7 62% 54–58 ✓
Towson @ Delaware +1.3 129.2 52% 67–56 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ Drexel +15.5 141.9 89% 47–62 ✓
Hofstra @ Monmouth -0.5 142.9 52% 78–81 ✗
Elon @ Hampton -2.6 152.5 40% 80–74 ✓
Charleston @ Campbell -8.6 147.5 17% 90–67 ✓
Boston University @ Lafayette +1.5 125.4 49% 62–48 ✗
Lipscomb @ Stetson -1.6 153.5 47% 59–80 ✗
Long Island University @ Le Moyne +10.8 144.0 86% 74–87 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Fairleigh Dickinson -0.4 149.5 50% 91–93 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Columbia -0.7 145.5 50% 81–84 ✗
Bowling Green @ Toledo +8.1 149.3 80% 72–88 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Ball State +4.5 148.1 76% 71–81 ✓
The Citadel @ Chattanooga +7.5 140.6 81% 62–90 ✓
Princeton @ Cornell -1.6 150.5 46% 68–83 ✗
Yale @ Harvard -3.6 143.4 31% 78–65 ✓
Georgia State @ Coastal Carolina -3.1 146.5 41% 83–85 ✗
Binghamton @ Maine +5.9 136.7 69% 51–50 ✗
Nicholls @ East Texas A&M -0.8 143.3 40% 87–84 ✓
Brown @ Dartmouth -5.5 131.8 32% 71–75 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Miami +4.1 144.2 69% 68–72 ✓
Indiana @ Illinois +13.3 156.3 87% 62–70 ✓
Villanova @ Butler +1.0 144.5 59% 81–88 ✓
Grand Canyon @ UT Arlington -5.8 145.9 25% 67–61 ✓
California Baptist @ Stephen F. Austin +3.8 135.5 64% 81–79 ✗
New Mexico State @ Louisiana Tech +12.4 135.6 87% 53–73 ✓
Auburn @ Mississippi State -2.1 143.1 49% 58–64 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Texas Southern +7.8 137.2 80% 69–85 ✓
Buffalo @ Eastern Michigan +2.1 138.2 56% 65–75 ✓
Western Illinois @ Morehead State +7.8 132.8 79% 50–64 ✓
Clemson @ Duke +6.0 144.4 77% 71–72 ✓
TCU @ Baylor +7.2 148.6 74% 105–102 ✗
Utah State @ Boise State +1.6 137.9 58% 90–84 ✗
Colorado State @ Wyoming -9.3 143.2 24% 76–79 ✗
Charlotte @ Tulane +1.7 147.1 47% 75–71 ✗
UTSA @ South Florida +10.6 159.5 86% 72–89 ✓
Missouri State @ Valparaiso -3.8 139.2 37% 81–70 ✓
High Point @ Winthrop +0.1 152.7 50% 83–81 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Gardner-Webb +7.0 145.5 79% 70–75 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Stony Brook -4.4 140.2 28% 78–86 ✗
Colgate @ American University -2.3 132.7 35% 73–54 ✓
Rhode Island @ George Mason +10.1 137.3 85% 84–92 ✓
Coppin State @ Norfolk State +14.6 129.7 89% 58–68 ✓
Merrimack @ Saint Francis -8.2 132.2 19% 74–55 ✓
Samford @ East Tennessee State -5.2 154.0 32% 75–72 ✓
Oakland @ Milwaukee -1.2 151.0 48% 91–87 ✓
Southern Miss @ Marshall +3.4 145.0 68% 67–83 ✓
Vermont @ Bryant +0.1 142.6 44% 67–57 ✗
Omaha @ Denver +5.5 158.2 68% 91–72 ✗
Jacksonville @ Bellarmine +1.1 135.9 61% 63–69 ✓
Jackson State @ Bethune-Cookman -2.1 147.4 44% 71–82 ✗
North Florida @ Eastern Kentucky +5.9 149.5 70% 76–89 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Central Arkansas -6.9 160.0 29% 87–92 ✗
Southern Utah @ Abilene Christian +2.0 151.5 61% 82–67 ✗
Long Beach State @ UC Riverside +0.5 145.0 53% 65–53 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington +13.2 144.8 87% 70–85 ✓
Alcorn State @ Florida A&M -1.5 146.5 34% 76–67 ✓
Howard @ Morgan State -6.7 148.0 26% 79–85 ✗
Presbyterian @ Radford +8.9 139.9 81% 58–73 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ SIU Edwardsville +8.6 132.4 80% 57–74 ✓
Lindenwood @ UT Martin +10.5 151.4 86% 67–76 ✓
Tennessee State @ Eastern Illinois -0.8 136.7 46% 64–60 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Northwestern State -6.9 140.5 26% 79–68 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Little Rock +9.4 152.5 83% 61–66 ✓
Colorado @ Washington State +1.6 142.7 59% 69–78 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Grambling +14.3 126.4 90% 46–54 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Virginia Tech +9.7 147.2 83% 67–91 ✓
UIC @ Belmont +4.3 145.6 75% 65–74 ✓
Iowa @ Michigan -0.3 160.0 48% 88–78 ✓
Rider @ Mount St. Mary's +4.0 142.1 58% 66–62 ✗
VMI @ Western Carolina +17.3 151.8 90% 77–102 ✓
New Orleans @ McNeese +17.8 147.4 90% 65–102 ✓
Utah Tech @ Tarleton State +7.8 138.9 76% 68–86 ✓
Liberty @ Jacksonville State -2.9 129.9 39% 62–73 ✗
UC San Diego @ UC Davis +1.8 138.3 65% 92–59 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Idaho -5.3 149.5 31% 89–68 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Maryland Eastern Shore -5.2 134.0 26% 65–57 ✓
Arizona @ Oregon -5.6 158.5 28% 87–78 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Charleston Southern -7.9 144.4 23% 71–65 ✓
UTEP @ Sam Houston +5.5 137.2 75% 56–60 ✓
South Alabama @ Troy +9.2 151.0 84% 79–83 ✓
South Carolina State @ Delaware State +4.9 142.3 61% 66–64 ✗
Tennessee @ Vanderbilt -12.8 142.4 16% 75–62 ✓
Kentucky @ Arkansas -5.3 159.0 35% 63–57 ✓
Dayton @ Richmond -1.4 132.4 44% 64–69 ✗
Bradley @ Indiana State +7.9 150.1 76% 86–95 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Drake +9.7 141.6 81% 63–77 ✓
La Salle @ George Washington +4.4 155.7 68% 80–70 ✗
Furman @ Wofford -2.6 155.4 37% 67–77 ✗
James Madison @ App State +0.3 147.3 52% 76–82 ✓
Houston Christian @ Incarnate Word +4.1 149.5 73% 75–79 ✓
Florida International @ Middle Tennessee +1.7 138.7 56% 61–79 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Southern +10.3 156.3 87% 66–80 ✓
Minnesota @ Penn State +3.3 145.0 62% 83–74 ✗
Alabama State @ Prairie View A&M +1.5 136.8 53% 74–67 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.