I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
Big 12 Conference · Gallagher-Iba Arena · January 27, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread OKST -3.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money OKST -188 / WVU +145
Model Predictions
Spread Total OKST win
Actual OKST +4 136 Won
Massey OKST -6.2 (-2.2) — —
Massey Totals — 141.7 (-5.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 55% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 57% ✓
Baseline Plus ML OKST -2.9 (+1.1) 142.2 (-6.2) 59% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OKST -4.3 (-0.3) 141.0 (-5.0) 67% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML OKST -3.2 (+0.8) 141.4 (-5.4) 64% ✓
Baseline ML OKST -3.0 (+1.0) 141.8 (-5.8) 63% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2026 OKST 91 – 84 WVU
Jan 4, 2025 WVU 69 – 50 OKST
Feb 21, 2023 WVU 85 – 67 OKST
Jan 3, 2023 OKST 67 – 60 WVU
Feb 12, 2022 OKST 81 – 58 WVU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OKST WVU
Overall 12-20 9-23
Conference 4-14 4-14
Home 10-8 9-9
Away 1-9 0-9
Neutral 1-3 0-5
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L6 L6
Avg Pts For 71.0 69.8
Avg Pts Against 72.7 76.8
Massey 3.6 (#113) 1.1 (#150)
Bradley-Terry -0.44 (#216) 0.04 (#172)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.17 (#185) 0.31 (#155)
RPI 0.473 (#224) 0.509 (#155)
Shooting & Four Factors OKST WVU
FG% 44.9% 41.2%
3PT% 35.7% 32.3%
REB / G 35.4 34.9
OREB / G 9.6 9.6
AST / TO 1.08 1.05
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.9% 47.3%
TOV% 19.5% 17.6%
ORB% 28.6% 27.1%
FT Rate 20.4% 27.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.3% 49.7%
Opp TOV% 17.0% 15.5%
DRB% 74.8% 70.3%
Opp FT Rate 21.0% 19.6%

Game Analysis

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