I'm so tired of being lonely, I still have some love to give. "Handle With Care" - The Travelling WIlburys
Big 12 Conference · Gallagher-Iba Arena · January 3, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread OKST -2.5 Home covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money OKST -167 / WVU +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total OKST win
Actual OKST +7 127 Won
Massey OKST -1.8 (+5.2)
Massey Totals 141.1 (-14.1)
Bradley-Terry 33%
Weighted B-T 35%
Efficiency Plus ML OKST -1.7 (+5.3) 137.4 (-10.4) 64%
Baseline Tuned ML OKST -2.3 (+4.7) 141.0 (-14.0) 59%
Baseline ML OKST -2.1 (+4.9) 142.7 (-15.7) 61%
Baseline Plus ML OKST -2.6 (+4.4) 141.3 (-14.3) 59%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2026 OKST 9184 WVU
Jan 4, 2025 WVU 6950 OKST
Jan 27, 2024 OKST 7066 WVU
Feb 21, 2023 WVU 8567 OKST
Feb 12, 2022 OKST 8158 WVU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OKST WVU
Overall 20-16 19-15
Conference 8-10 7-11
Home 12-6 13-4
Away 6-7 3-8
Neutral 2-3 3-3
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 68.3 76.0
Avg Pts Against 65.8 70.9
Massey 11.5 (#36) 14.0 (#13)
Bradley-Terry 1.17 (#78) 2.65 (#20)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.18 (#56) 3.70 (#15)
RPI 0.561 (#75) 0.629 (#17)
Shooting & Four Factors OKST WVU
FG% 45.0% 48.6%
3PT% 33.8% 37.2%
REB / G 38.9 35.7
OREB / G 11.5 11.2
AST / TO 0.94 1.17
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.5% 54.9%
TOV% 21.8% 17.9%
ORB% 34.6% 34.5%
FT Rate 23.0% 27.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 42.7% 47.9%
Opp TOV% 19.3% 23.0%
DRB% 73.2% 71.0%
Opp FT Rate 21.8% 27.4%

Game Analysis

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