Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -350 UVU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +1 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -8.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -6.5 (-5.5) | 140.5 (-17.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -6.2 (-5.2) | 140.1 (-17.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -6.2 (-5.2) | 139.9 (-16.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -6.2 (-5.2) | 142.7 (-19.7) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2025 | UVU 68 – 55 SEA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UVU 61 – 55 SEA |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UVU 70 – 66 SEA |
| Nov 30, 2023 | UVU 78 – 72 SEA |
| Feb 19, 2023 | UVU 67 – 58 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#115) | -1.7 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#161) | -0.03 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#122) | -0.09 (#180) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#171) | 0.509 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 25.4% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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