Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -215 UVU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +4 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -1.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -0.7 (-4.7) | 138.0 (-2.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -0.5 (-4.5) | 139.1 (-3.1) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -1.2 (-5.2) | 135.9 (+0.1) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -1.3 (-5.3) | 137.8 (-1.8) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2025 | UVU 68 – 55 SEA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UVU 61 – 55 SEA |
| Jan 27, 2024 | SEA 62 – 61 UVU |
| Nov 30, 2023 | UVU 78 – 72 SEA |
| Feb 19, 2023 | UVU 67 – 58 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 15-1 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-0 |
| Away | 4-11 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 68.9 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#153) | 2.2 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#232) | 0.84 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#203) | 0.66 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#233) | 0.551 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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