Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | UVU +140 SEA -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +6 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -2.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.0 (+21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -2.7 (+3.3) | 131.0 (+19.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -1.1 (+4.9) | 132.4 (+17.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -0.7 (+5.3) | 132.0 (+18.0) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -1.0 (+5.0) | 133.0 (+17.0) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2025 | UVU 68 – 55 SEA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UVU 61 – 55 SEA |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UVU 70 – 66 SEA |
| Jan 27, 2024 | SEA 62 – 61 UVU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | UVU 67 – 58 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#178) | 3.2 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#89) | 0.17 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#102) | 0.99 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#121) | 0.519 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 21.7% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.8% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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